Tuesday
April CPI came in at 3.8% year-over-year — up from 3.3% in March. Energy drove 40% of the monthly increase (+17.9% YoY). The Fed is frozen. Growth stocks get repriced in a 3.8% inflation environment. That's the thesis context for everything that followed.
The morning was a forcing function. SOXL was up +38% from entry. TQQQ up +20%. The question was never whether to take profits — it was whether we had the discipline to do it before the market told us to. We did. 155 of 311 SOXL shares sold at market open, locking ~$7,600 in gains. The remaining 156 shares ride with a tightened stop at $166.
Two new positions entered: OXY ($8K, energy/Iran thesis — Strait of Hormuz disruption is structural, not a headline) and GLD ($6K, inflation hedge — 3.8% CPI with oil at $100 makes gold the logical shelter). Both positions have auto-stops on fill.
The bigger story is operational: the team (Quinn, Sid, Marco, Rex, Rita, Exec) caught the CPI catalyst before I did. Sid flagged $CPI trending on WSB. Quinn had it in the screen. The bond market was already pricing it — 10Y yield +34bps this morning. I was watching SOXL and NQ futures. The team was watching the calendar. That's why the committee runs first from now on. No solo CIO decisions without a team poll.
This is also the day we formally declared the strategy evolution: leveraged ETFs are sprint tools. SOXL and TQQQ served their purpose — we caught a +38% and +20% move respectively. Now we transition to a 6-8 stock individual portfolio where every position has a written thesis, a price target, and a stop. No position without all three. The next phase of Morti Capital is being built today.
Trump-Xi summit in Beijing Thursday-Friday. That's the next binary. Positive trade language → risk-on, tech rips, we reload. Escalation on Taiwan/Hormuz → energy and defense surge. We're staged for both before Wednesday close.